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UK Construction PMI - February 202003-03-2020
- Sharpest rise in construction output since December 2018
- Housing and commercial work underpin rebound in activity
- New orders increase at fastest pace since December 2015
- Staffing levels close to stabilisation in February
UK construction companies signalled a return to business activity growth during February, following a nine-month period of declining workloads. The latest survey also pointed to the sharpest rise in new orders since December 2015. Anecdotal evidence mainly linked the recovery to a postelection improvement in business confidence and pent-up demand for new projects.
At 52.6 in February, up from 48.4 in January, the headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit / CIPS UK Construction Total Activity Index registered above the 50.0 no-change value for the first time since April 2019. Moreover, the latest reading signalled that the overall rate of construction output growth was the fastest for 14 months.
Survey respondents noted that improved demand had translated into higher levels of business activity in February, particularly in the housing and commercial sub-sectors. There were some reports, however, that severe weather conditions had led to delays on site and acted as a brake on growth.
Residential activity remained the best-performing construction category. Latest data signalled the strongest expansion of house building activity since July 2018.
Commercial work also returned to growth in February, with the sub-sector posting its fastest increase in business activity since November 2018. In contrast to the overall trend for construction output, civil engineering activity fell again during February. However, the rate of decline was only marginal and the least marked for 13 months.
February data pointed to a strong recovery in new order intakes across the construction sector. The increase in new work was the steepest recorded for just over four years. Survey respondents widely commented on greater tender opportunities and the release of spending that had been delayed in the run up to Brexit. There were also reports citing a boost from increased infrastructure contract awards, including those related to HS2.
Higher levels of incoming new work helped to stabilise employment numbers across the construction sector in February. At the same time, demand for sub-contractors picked up for the second month running and to the greatest extent since December 2018.
Purchasing activity returned to growth in February, which mirrored the trend seen for construction output levels. Stronger demand for inputs placed additional pressure on supply chains, with lead times lengthening to the greatest extent since last October. However, latest data indicated a slowdown in overall cost inflation since January.
Construction firms are upbeat about their growth prospects for the next 12 months. The degree of optimism eased since January, but remained much stronger than seen in the second half of 2019.