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UK Construction PMI - July 201803-08-2018
UK construction companies achieved a stronger expansion of business activity levels during July, underpinned by the fastest increase in residential work for just over two-and-a-half years. The latest survey also indicated that new business growth gained momentum, which contributed to the largest rise in employment numbers since December 2015. Supply chain pressures continued in July, which contributed to another sharp lengthening of delivery times for construction products and materials. However, input cost inflation moderated from the nine-month high seen in June.
At 55.8 in July, up sharply from 53.1 in the previous month, the seasonally adjusted IHS Markit / CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) signalled the fastest rise in overall construction output since May 2017.
Survey respondents commented on improving demand conditions, higher volumes of new project starts and, in some cases, a degree of catch-up from the bad weather earlier in 2018.
House building was the best performing category of construction activity in July, with the latest upturn the strongest since December 2015. Commercial work also picked up at the fastest pace for just over two and-a-half years. Civil engineering activity increased only moderately, albeit at a sharper rate than in June. Construction companies noted that a lack of work to replace completed projects (particularly railway infrastructure work) continued to hold back growth in the civil engineering sub-sector.
July data pointed to the strongest increase in total new orders across the construction sector since May 2017. Survey respondents noted that a general improvement in client demand had led to successful contract negotiations on larger scale projects. Despite an upturn in tender opportunities, construction companies are cautious about the year ahead business outlook. The degree of positive sentiment about future workloads was unchanged since June and remained weaker than the long-term survey average. Anecdotal evidence suggested that Brexit-related uncertainty continued to hold back business optimism in July.
Meanwhile, the latest survey indicated that rising sales volumes helped to boost job creation in the construction sector. The rate of employment growth was the fastest since December 2015. Input buying also expanded at the strongest pace for just over two-and-a-half years. Greater purchasing activity led to the sharpest decline in supplier performance since July 2017.
Input cost inflation eased to a three-month low in July, but remained strong in comparison to its post-crisis trend. Survey respondents widely cited rising fuel bills and higher prices for steel-related inputs.
Source: IHS Markit/CIPS